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Showing posts with label Economy. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Economy. Show all posts

Global Economy Risks Jobless Recovery

GENEVA — A new report finds global unemployment rates are continuing to rise, despite modest growth in the world economy.   The International Labor Organization’s just-issued 2014 Global Employment Trends report says young people are particularly disadvantaged, with youth unemployment double the overall global unemployment rate. 

By any measure, this is a dispiriting account of the global labor market.  The report says the weak global economic recovery is failing to improve the worldwide job situation.  The International Labor Organization says in 2013, nearly 202 million people were unemployed around the world.  This represents an increase of almost five million on the previous year.


World Unemployment, 2003 - 2018World Unemployment, 2003 - 2018
ILO Director-General Guy Ryder says worse is to come.  He says current trends indicate the number of unemployed will increase in coming years and is expected to reach 215 million by 2018. 

He says that even before the onset of the financial crisis in 2008, unemployment was very high. But, since then, he says, more than 60 million additional people have been negatively affected.

“That is to say that since the crisis, we see an additional 32 million unemployed added, to which we must have another 30 million of people who are discouraged, who have left the labor market.  So, we are 62 million jobs down.  And, at current rates of growth, we are simply not able to produce any improvement in these figures.  Indeed, they are going to get worse," said Ryder.

The report finds young people are particular victims of unemployment and more effort must be made to integrate them into the labor force.  It says some 74.5 million men and women under the age of 25 are without jobs.  It says global youth unemployment is more than 13 percent, compared to the overall worldwide rate of six percent.

Ryder says the quality of employment also is of concern.  He explains the world has made significant progress in reducing the numbers of working poor over a decade.  But he notes the rate of improvement stalled in 2013.

“We are seeing that the war on poverty has slowed down, or progress in the war on poverty, I should say, has slowed down in the wake of the crisis.  Around 375 million workers still get $1.25 a day or less to live on - 839 million are living with their families on less than $2," he said.

In regional terms, the report finds nearly half of all job seekers are located Southeast Asia, followed by sub-Saharan Africa and Europe.  By contrast, the report says Latin America was little affected by the global loss of jobs in 2013.

The ILO says in the developed economies and the European Union, labor market conditions showed no signs of improvement last year.  It says the Middle East and North Africa region has the highest unemployment rate in the world.  It says paid employment opportunities in sub-Saharan Africa are scarce.

The ILO argues the continuing jobs’ crisis requires a more focused, effective response nationally and internationally.  It says there is a clear linkage between the unacceptable levels of unemployment in the world and growing inequality.  It adds this must be addressed by putting employment firmly at the center of policy making.

China's Economy Slows in Fourth Quarter


VOA News January 20, 2014


China reported on Monday that its economic growth slowed in the final quarter of 2013 and appears set to cool even further. China's National Bureau of Statistics also said Monday that the economy grew by 7.7 percent for all of last year, the same as in 2012. Analysts said the economy slowed quite rapidly in the last quarter, with factory output, exports and investment all weaker than the previous quarter. The cool-down may be a sign of more sober times ahead as the government wrestles to implement major
reforms. Ma Jiantang, head of the National Bureau of Statistics, cautioned that the foundation for economic recovery still needs to be consolidated as the world's second largest economy enters a stage of transformation and development. “In general, the economic growth in 2013 was overall stable. The economy was growing and improving while remaining stable. The achievement was hard-won. Meanwhile, we must see clearly that the economy of our country is in a crucial period of transformation and development, deep-rooted problems are to be eased, and the foundation for economic recovery is still to be consolidated,” Ma told reporters in Beijing. After 30 years of sizzling double-digit economic growth that lifted many millions of Chinese out of poverty but also devastated the environment, China wants to change tack by embracing sustainable and higher-quality development instead. Any change is expected to come at a cost of more muted economic growth, a price Beijing says it is willing to pay. With China stepping up its efforts to remake its economy by promoting domestic consumption at the expense of exports and investment, some analysts predicted that the world's second-largest economy may lose further momentum this year. “We are in the comforting background that you can push for reform because the growth momentum is quite stable. But the cautious side is that if you compare the third quarter versus the fourth quarter, I will say there was some slowdown in the fourth quarter. So in that sense I will say the concern is that if you particularly focus on… structural reform, the near term impact on growth may be negative. So in that sense, how to combine these two policy objectives -- reform and growth -- that is still a tough question for the policymakers,” said Zhu Haibin, chief China economist and head of Greater China Economic Research at J.P. Morgan. Other data released alongside GDP showed industrial output grew 9.7 percent in December from a year ago, versus expectations of 9.8 percent showed in the Reuters poll. Retail sales in December rose 13.6 percent on a year ago, in line with expectations. Fixed-asset investment grew 19.6 percent in 2013 from a year earlier, versus an expected 19.8 percent. The government only publishes cumulative investment data. Officials said that a long-term accumulation of problems has yet to ease, and a mini-stimulus of government spending last year has faded. Growth of the world's second-largest economy is still considerably stronger than the United States, Japan or Europe.
 
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